Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 8.657365 9.905970 11.285629 12.925558 14.824873 16.959111 19.544312
2025-07-27 7.183497 8.850185 10.842929 13.410385 16.644147 20.599597 25.831433
2025-08-03 5.989356 7.774296 10.031214 13.111969 17.235186 22.601318 30.176309
2025-08-10 5.187527 7.023787 9.453463 12.930590 17.823217 24.527399 34.521869
2025-08-17 4.580250 6.429440 8.973412 12.765802 18.339296 26.328514 38.825413
2025-08-24 4.083901 5.917789 8.528992 12.565327 18.732329 27.937501 42.976480
2025-08-31 3.662387 5.460454 8.101084 12.318918 18.994764 29.334777 46.916740
2025-09-07 3.492167 5.353440 8.170813 12.818220 20.434765 32.672453 54.327943
2025-09-14 3.262912 5.129043 8.032075 12.962941 21.305083 35.166936 60.615513
2025-09-21 3.025237 4.866266 7.803253 12.928532 21.859270 37.171692 66.269254
2025-09-28 2.793830 4.591018 7.525863 12.778156 22.186455 38.799838 71.414098
2025-10-05 2.692939 4.522424 7.582059 13.200796 23.555096 42.402878 80.673279
2025-10-12 2.573146 4.413740 7.564434 13.498621 24.743817 45.836977 90.125941
2025-10-19 2.495828 4.371827 7.658131 14.005614 26.374327 50.284324 102.213118
2025-10-26 2.303807 4.108058 7.331442 13.692888 26.389019 51.576647 107.902628
2025-11-02 2.147959 3.897144 7.082593 13.502847 26.620517 53.316794 114.765513
2025-11-09 2.009051 3.706302 6.854641 13.330199 26.864630 55.099692 121.945928
2025-11-16 1.878045 3.519974 6.619676 13.120172 27.005840 56.672348 128.844550
2025-11-23 1.752865 3.335203 6.372763 12.862039 27.015631 57.954349 135.221043
2025-11-30 1.724897 3.338620 6.495922 13.385116 28.773671 63.307421 152.199763
2025-12-07 1.658546 3.260003 6.447489 13.536742 29.718404 66.910460 165.327021
2025-12-14 1.578063 3.146538 6.318628 13.500691 30.229644 69.552767 176.355197
2025-12-21 1.491937 3.015142 6.142353 13.343142 30.440454 71.495503 185.805308